Trump: The mouth that ate the GOP

Donald Trump

Memo to the GOP elite: “This is not the poll that you were looking for.”

Instead, the poll released this morning by CNN is likely to send the likes of Reince Priebus, Karl Rove and Mitch McConnell cowering under their desks or reaching for a whiskey bottle.

Among other things, it documents the continued and expected decline of Ben Carson, a candidate whose lack of seriousness has become so obvious that it can no longer be overlooked. That’s not the problem. The problem is that as Carson declines, look who benefits:

trumppoll

It is now December. Donald Trump has proved far from a passing summer fancy, and in fact has led in every poll conducted since July. As voting season comes closer, his lead among GOP voters is growing, not shrinking. At 36 percent, CNN tells us, he now enjoys a remarkable 20-point margin over his second-place challenger. And that challenger is a man by the name of Ted Cruz, who happens to be GOP establishment’s second most-feared candidate.

And Jeb Bush, the well-funded, well-organized champion of the party regulars? He has dropped like an autumn leaf fluttering to the ground and now sits at 3 percent, among the likes of Carly Fiorina and Mike Huckabee. Bush aides keep pointing to John McCain’s 2008 comeback as a model for his campaign, but at this point they’d be better off trying to cite Lazarus.

And did I mention that this is December already? The Iowa caucuses are scheduled for Feb. 1, less than two months away, with New Hampshire a week after that. Between now and then we have the Christmas holiday season, when public attention turns away from the blood sport of politics and the campaign goes into hibernation of sorts. If Trump is going to falter, or if someone is going to strike a fatal blow against him, the time frame in which that can occur is shrinking quickly.

Two other points to consider:

1.) A lot of Trump’s appeal is based on his reputation as a winner. People like winners. They like to be associated with winners. The more winning he does, the more winning he is likely to do in the future.  And that’s not just true of voters. It may be even more true of GOP media, donors, political figures and politicians who get nervous when they see a big parade marching by and they’re not part of it. In other words, we’re at the point when the potential bandwagon effect could be enormous.

2.) Republican party professionals still do not believe Trump could possibly win in November. Democratic party professionals don’t believe so either, and are probably looking at these and other poll results and thinking that Santa came early this year. In fact, Trump’s inability to win when it will really count is potentially the best argument that his GOP opponents can muster against him.

Or not:

trumpwin

Among Republican primary voters, 52 percent now believe that Trump is their party’s best chance to defeat the Democrats in 2016. Rubio is second at a mere 15 percent, 37 percentage points behind the Donald. Electability is not a weapon to be used against Trump; among the base, it may even be his greatest strength at this point. That probably scares the GOP elite more than the horse race numbers, because it confirms that they live in a political world very different from those whom they presume to lead and manage.

Damndest thing I ever saw.

 

Reader Comments 0

2468 comments
Visual_Cortex
Visual_Cortex

@Paul42 

none that I can see.

Jay's probably in the process of re-submitting the post.

[on edit] Ok, it's fear-and-hysteria sheetz. Oh dear.

Eye wonder
Eye wonder

@Paul42

Sweet. Just gonna clear the cookie cache and I'll be right over.

SGTGrit
SGTGrit

It is indeed a waste of valuable time arguing with libs about their false eqivalency of equating Christianity with the world wide Islamic jihad movement.

StraightNoChaser
StraightNoChaser

@SGTGrit It's impossible for you to equate white supremacist terrorist with world wide terrorist because they do not affect you and the majority of the killers look like you. The people killed by Dyllan Roof in that church were black not white and the killer in Colorado Springs was white so it is impossible for someone like you to see it as terrorism that would be asking you for too much.

td1234
td1234

It appears that citizens are finally waking up and realizing that government cannot protect them from terrorist and crazy people so it is up to the individual to protect themselves. Record gun sales are happening all over the country. 

StraightNoChaser
StraightNoChaser

@td1234 I wonder how many are actual terrorist that were able to openly buy guns at gun shows without a background check.  I compare that to a dog chasing its tail or patting yourself on the back for taking care of a problem you created.  

CommonSenseisntCommon
CommonSenseisntCommon

@StraightNoChaser @td1234 openly buy guns at gun shows? That gun show loop holes for the most part is private sales in the parking lot of gun shows IMO. Most of the dealers at the gun show are above board and require the background check.

Eye wonder
Eye wonder

@td1234

You need to watch fewer westerns. Seriously. This is real life. Real people. Real blood. Real death. No special effects or stunt doubles. Seriously.

StraightNoChaser
StraightNoChaser

@BuckeyeGa Yea but the argument is what keeps td relevant on here everyday otherwise he would shrivel away.  

BuckeyeGa
BuckeyeGa

@td1234

Guns sales have increased since the President has taken office. Some people believed thr president will try to take their guns. If it hasn't happened by now common sense says it won't happen.

td1234
td1234

"

Though President Barack Obama claimed that America must “enlist Muslim communities” to combat terrorism in his Sunday evening Oval Office address, former FBI Counterterrorism Agent John Guandolo said on Monday’s Breitbart News Daily (6AM-9AM EST on Sirius XM Patriot channel 125) that since 9/11, “we collectively have received nearly zero help from the Muslim Community.”

Guandolo, who pointed out on Friday’s Breitbart News Daily that a “vast majority” of U.S. mosques and Islamic centers are a part of a much larger “jihadi network,” told host and Breitbart News Executive Chairman Stephen K. Bannon that though Muslim community leaders “certainly give the air as if they are helping,” if one looks at the “major Islamic organizations, the major Islamic centers in the United States,” they have “condemned all of the counter-terrorism policies and they’ve gotten the government to kowtow to them, to turn only to them for advice.”

RaindroidWillBoy
RaindroidWillBoy

@td1234


The condemnations are meaningless except to partisan opinion columnist and politicians?


I condemn the attacks to for the record

StraightNoChaser
StraightNoChaser

@td1234 How much support has white supremacist groups gave him in his fight against terrorist?  

DownInAlbany
DownInAlbany

@Visual_Cortex @td1234 I'm pretty sure that particular article has been thoroughly debunked, probably about a year or so ago.  I just thought I would let you know.

Menace
Menace

@td1234  Note the sources - former agent and Breitbart.  Not exactly credible - except to fear mongers.

Kamchak
Kamchak

@Menace 

It was red and white striped, so not the Blue Lions.

I wish we could get rid of Mourhino and go back to Umbro kits.

Visual_Cortex
Visual_Cortex

@DownInAlbany @Visual_Cortex @td1234 

Why doesn't your prized "news" source remove this debunked story?

If they ever bothered to google themselves they'd know full well that people were pointing and laughing at it regularly.

Ever wonder why on earth they'd leave that up, without so much as an update? Better yet, ever wonder why the brainwashed morons who comment there never bothered to say "hey, something kinda smells here..."?

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

@td1234 You can't fight or win a war, when your number one priority is protecting the feelings of those who might mistake your aggression towards your enemies, as aggression toward them, since you have refused to name your enemy.

DownInAlbany
DownInAlbany

@td1234 They can't dispute that he said it.  They can only put an article from July 2014 in the echo chamber and keep cueing it up.  17 months and they can't find anything else to parrot.  It doesn't speak very highly of their being able to really understand what is important.

Visual_Cortex
Visual_Cortex

@Kamchak @Visual_Cortex 

I am starting to wonder if Breitbart has considered removing the link, but realizes "gosh, we are getting a ton of click-thrus..."

RaindroidWillBoy
RaindroidWillBoy

Who's got a plan?  There is no plan because we don't know what to do that will reduce risk.  Bombing?  Tried that.  Regime change?  Tried that.  Tighten borders?  Ha.   Materially reduce the 310 million guns in circulation?  Good luck.


Of course we got DC money to combat as well if we want to get anything done..

StraightNoChaser
StraightNoChaser

@Philo_Farnsworth It ain't easy, so I guess we'll just wave the White Flag, huh?

Seriously, who are you leveling that claim against?  The Republican party has one hero that rubbed himself in feces to avoid the draft (Ted Nugent) and the other one straight dodged the draft five times (Donald Trump).  Both are yelling boots on the ground and protecting their right to bear arms yet both refused to bear arms when the United States called them to duty.  

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

Trump is just a reaction to the awfulness of the Obama regime.  Somehow voters always want someone just as awful on their side to somehow equal the score.  They elected the totally inept and unprepared Obama as a reaction to their monumental disappointment with Dubyah.  The same is happening now. 

Visual_Cortex
Visual_Cortex

@RafeHollister @CommonSenseisntCommon 

neither would say a bad word about Barry

where on earth do you get this garbage?

McCain even attacked those who did

you mean he told this senile lady who called Obama an "Arab" that one time, that she might be mistaken? 

honested
honested

@RafeHollister @CommonSenseisntCommon 

"the other side just stayed home" despite the fact that the largest republiklan turnout in history was stomped twice by an even larger Democratic turnout....

Whatever helps your wounds heal.

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

@CommonSenseisntCommon @RafeHollister Losers both, neither would say a bad word about Barry, McCain even attacked those who did, so the vehement on the other side just stayed home.  The base wanted someone who would draw strong distinctions, like Trump is doing.

Numbers_R_Us
Numbers_R_Us

Getting rid of Republicans would solve 100% of our problems with having Republicans in office so they should be more than willing to do that.

fedup52
fedup52

SNF.  Steeler WR Brown returned a punt all the way to end zone that is when the funny part started.  He ran into the padded portion of the goal post and then flipped.  He got up laughing.  The camera panned to the Steeler side line and some of the players including Rothlisburger were laughing so hard.  It was funny to watch that scene.

stefpe
stefpe

@fedup52 Who knew dry-humping the goal post is considered "unsportsmanlike conduct"?