The Ides of March arrives, to ominous portent for whom?

murder_julian_cesar_b

On this very date, on the Ides of March some 2,060 years ago, Julius Caesar was stabbed to death on the floor of the Roman Senate.

And unlike Sen. Lindsey Graham’s joke about doing the same to Ted Cruz — in Graham’s version, no one would care and no one would be convicted — the murder of Caesar touched off another round in a long and disastrous civil war.

“Hardly any of his assassins survived him for more than three years, or died a natural death,” the Roman historian Suetonius tells us. “They were all condemned, and they perished in various ways — some by shipwreck, some in battle; some took their own lives with the self-same dagger with which they had impiously slain Caesar.”

Civil war can be so nasty.

Speaking of which, it’s another big day for the Republicans!

A few months ago, their nightmare scenario would have been a drawn-out, inconclusive primary season, with nobody getting enough delegates to claim the crown, followed by a hotly contested convention in Cleveland in which the hated Cruz swoops in to seize the nomination of a divided party. What could possibly be worse than that?

Well, Donald Trump would be worse than that. Their worst-case scenario of a deadlocked convention has now become the goal to which they longingly aspire, their lastest, bestest hope of denying the Donald his prize.

Tonight’s primaries will go a long way toward writing that narrative. Marco Rubio, the apple-cheeked wonder from Florida, is widely expected to go down to a stinging defeat in his home state, a loss that would end his presidential campaign and put a serious hurting on his political career. Polls indicate that Rubio might even place third, behind the frontrunner Trump and behind Cruz as well, a major humiliation for a man who just a few weeks ago saw his path clearing for the nomination.

In another winner-take-all primary, this one up in Ohio, Gov. John Kasich is gamely plowing a straight furrow, his eyes never wavering from the horizon. It seems inconceivable that a deeply conservative party will turn to a relative moderate to lead it through crisis, but the grim-faced Kasich doesn’t allow himself to think such long-term thoughts. His immediate goal is to deny Ohio’s delegates to Trump, and by doing so prolong the campaign.

Once that’s accomplished, he’ll turn the mule around and start on the next furrow. If nothing else, you have to admire the man’s determination.

This could turn out to be a pivotal moment for the Democrats as well. I’ve said all along that Bernie Sanders has no realistic chance of winning the nomination, but this is the night that I might be proved wrong. The polls show Sanders trailing Hillary Clinton badly in both Florida and North Carolina, but he’s down by just eight points in Ohio and two in Illinois, with a possible narrow lead in Missouri.

If those polls prove accurate, that would be a decent but insufficient showing for Sanders, and whatever path that he thinks he sees to the nomination would disappear. On the other hand, as we saw in Michigan last week, the polls are sometimes as accurate as the Roman reading of entrails, and from here on out the primary schedule looks pretty favorable to the Bern. None of the Democratic primaries is winner-take-all, but wins in major states such as Ohio and Illinois would give the scruffy, underdog band of Sanders’ supporters some cause to rally.

And as Julius Caesar used to say a couple of millenia back, “It is not these well-fed, long-haired men that I fear, but the pale and the hungry-looking.”

Reader Comments 0

1278 comments
gotalife
gotalife

They can steal it from trump because the voters still vote gop. Battered wife syndrome so they get beat again.

gotalife
gotalife

One con preaching, one con running a civil campaign and one bombastic elitist  are left.


trump could make a deal with cruz to get the delegates or a contested convention.

DebbieDoRight
DebbieDoRight

"What circumstances justify or excuse numerous adulterous affairs, ME? Tell me. "

I can't remember, but....weren't you the one gushing about Newt Gingrich on the blog the other day? If it wasn't you, sorry for the mention.

Doom Classical liberal
Doom Classical liberal

@DebbieDoRight


Probably someone else. But Newt wasn't potus. And it was precisely his 2 or 3 affairs and divorces that caught up with him when he ran for potus. And of course Newt was never accused of rape by a woman that the NOW gals found to be credible. 

td1234
td1234

@DebbieDoRight Multiple case of sexual abuse allegations and affairs while he was married and Bill not only got away with it (largely because Hillary led the "bimbo brigade" but he kept his office as President and was re-elected. 

MaryElizabethSings
MaryElizabethSings

Ted Cruz just ended his speech with, "If we stand together, it will be morning in America."   I agree with Cruz, but only if I change the spelling of his word, to wit:  "If we stand together, it will be mourning in America."   ;-)   Mark my words, we will all wear black if Cruz ever becomes U.S. President!

gotalife
gotalife

Hillary will win Illinois and trump will win Missouri.


Sanders wins Missouri.

gotalife
gotalife

The party of trump  will remain elitist so he will fit right in.

td1234
td1234

The true social conservative or the populist/nationalist will be the next President. 


What a great thing to know. America will be great either way. 

StraightNoChaser
StraightNoChaser

@td1234 T bagger birther on CNN today said Cruz is Canadian and can't be President.  Your folk your political party.

gotalife
gotalife

cruz takes the lead Missouri.


Sanders will win that State.

StraightNoChaser
StraightNoChaser

@gotalife @StraightNoChaser I know it sounds real creepy.  That fool really thinks he is going to be President.  I heard a T bagger birther on CNN say he is a Canadian and can't be President.  He must forgot to send him the memo.

StraightNoChaser
StraightNoChaser

@gotalife He's still hoping that Hillary gets convicted because he knows he nor Trump can beat her.    It's gotten so bad for Cruz that he said he day dreams about it now. 

StraightNoChaser
StraightNoChaser

Trump has to win 60% more of the delegates to get to 1237 to win nomination and that's not going to happen.  That convention is going to be one big clown show. I wonder if Trump supporters will be sucker punching republicans.

gotalife
gotalife

The gop will surrender like they always do and be the party of trump.

breckenridge
breckenridge

Another big turn out of first time voters for Trump.  These first-timers.......they're neither republicans nor democrats, nor independents for that matter, they're simply Trump-ites. It's a personality cult of sorts.  I can't begin to understand it, but that's okay, I don't have to.

breckenridge
breckenridge

@ByteMe @breckenridge 

The efforts to swift-boat Trump are a complete waste of money.  All it does is make his supporters dig in their heels even harder.

ByteMe
ByteMe

@breckenridge Like all good robots, there is an "off" switch.  Just have to find it.

ByteMe
ByteMe

@breckenridge  You're just trying to discourage the easily discouraged.  New voters are easily discouraged and most idealistic.  Bernie and Trump are natural magnets to them.

td1234
td1234

@breckenridge I have three friends that I have known since HS that reached out to me several months ago and asked me what the process was to vote because they have never voted before. They all voted for Trump and I agree they will not listen to anything the media says about Trump or anyone else. They will vote for Trump. Not only that but they are covering their FB pages with pro Trump information so there is no telling how many people they have had influence on as well. 

breckenridge
breckenridge

We're going to knock the hell out of ISIS.

 Don't ask me how, just be assured that it will happen.

ByteMe
ByteMe

@breckenridge We're going to build a YUUUUGE casino in Syria and they'll come gamble instead of fight each other.

td1234
td1234

@StraightNoChaser A know there has been many times I have been on the beach and wished that was the law in this country for certain people. 


If you have rolls then you do not need to be wearing a 2 piece. 

td1234
td1234

@StraightNoChaser @td1234 I do not know and that is exactly the point. Sometimes it is better to imagine than to actually have to look at reality.