The lines dividing us, one from the other, have deepened

twocamps

“We’re not generating enough angry white guys to stay in business for the long term,” U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham warned his fellow Republicans four years ago.

That’s probably true. But damned if they aren’t going to give it one more good old non-college try in 2016.

In a piece published earlier this week, the Washington Post broke down support for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by gender, education and race. The results — based on data from the most recent Washington Post/ABC News poll — offer a stunning depiction of the lines that divide us, and how deep and unbridgeable they have become.

We already know what most of those lines are. Democrats have historically done very well among minority voters, and according to the WaPo polling that continues to be the case. We know that Republicans tend to do better among white voters and among white men in particular, while Democrats do better among women. That too remains the case.

However, the scale of the gender gap has become astonishing this cycle, with education offering a much more dramatic demarcation point than in past elections.

Overall, the ABC/WaPo poll showed a tight race between Clinton and Trump. But among white voters without a college education, Trump enjoys a massive 40-point lead, well beyond the 25-point advantage that Mitt Romney won in exit polling of that demographic four years ago.

Conversely, among white voters with a college degree, Trump’s lead is just one point. The 14-point margin that Romney enjoyed among that group four years ago has disappeared. The political gap between college-educated white voters and those without a college diploma is now significant.

imrs

As the Post notes, nothing in the polling going back to 1984 shows anything like those margins. And when you throw in gender, the divides grow deeper still.

In exit polling four years ago, Romney enjoyed a large, 27-point margin among white men. Under Trump, the advantage has skyrocketed to 47 percentage points. Among white men without a college degree, Trump leads Clinton by 76 percent to 14 percent, a 62-point margin that pretty much taps out that demographic as a source of growth for Trump.¹ These are the people who want to “make America great again,” a phrase that they naturally apply to their own personal situations.

While I can sympathize with the desire, Trump is selling them the same kind of dream that he sold to his Trump University customers. “”You don’t sell products, benefits or solutions—you sell feelings,” the marketing playbook instructed, and that’s what Trump does.

In fact, I look at numbers like these and it really drives home how little any of this has to do with policy or issues or governance. To the degree that any of that matters, it’s at the margins. Instead, we’re using politics as an imperfect stage on which to fight through far deeper issues that really have little to do with government, such as identity, social standing, isolation and empowerment. It also helps to explain why communication across those chasms has become so painfully difficult. These are existential disputes that can’t easily be resolved through compromise.


¹In exit polling four years ago, Romney enjoyed a 14-point lead among white women. Today, Trump’s lead within that demographic has fallen to just four points. Among white women with a college education, Clinton now draws 57 percent to Trump’s 34 percent, a substantial 23-point margin in her favor.

 

Reader Comments 0

817 comments
Johnny Knight
Johnny Knight

Graham was a wussy when he played Trad in The Lords Of Discipline and he is a wussy now.

Infraredguy
Infraredguy

Locked in a tight race in California with Sanders, Hillary is preparing to speak to the National Association of Skateboarders by bringing in Tony Hawk to help her with her " Hey Dude " dialect 

RantNRave
RantNRave

"Oh good grief. Nobody would pine for the finger of Obama. If you are going to post at least be realistic. Obama sucks and I really hate that a portion of my taxes are going toward his non deserved check."


@Orange15


Obama has more class than all of you classless CONS


and that classless Chump and his classless wife.


BTW


Obama don't need your worthless piece of change.


He is educated and will make more than your entire


family makes !


K



RantNRave
RantNRave

" A combination of fracking and Obama regulation is what has led to the demise of the  coal industry. "


@TD4321


hmmmmmmmmmmm


Black lung??


Seriously......


"Mining and burning coal for fuel is harmful to the environment; but, because coal is so abundant and cheap, many people are reluctant to give it up as a fuel source. ... Burning coal also produces particulates that increase air pollution and health dangers. "




Infraredguy
Infraredguy

@RantNRave Besides, let the miners " Eat cake " the Government can increase their food stamps and pay for section 8 housing when they lose their jobs, the families are just collateral damage

RantNRave
RantNRave

"You want to know what put coal workers out of work? Of course you don't but I'm going to tell you: The same thing that put the neighborhood ice man and the buggy whip makers out of business."


@YouLibs


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mx2V-D-Xdq8


MaryElizabethSings
MaryElizabethSings

Both Hillary and Obama are actually center left, if one cares to label.  However, in truth, both defy labeling.  Listen to the complexity within both of their minds, and contrast their complexity of thought and maturity of emotions with the juvenile mind and emotions of Donald Trump.

td1234
td1234

@MaryElizabethSings Obama had the voting record of the 2nd most left in the entire Senate when he was elected President. Besides being a war hawk, Hillary is way further to the left than Bill was. Bill was center left. 


Trump is closer to Bill than Hillary is. 

xxxzzz
xxxzzz

A large part is because Clinton and Obama have been giving the finger to blue collar workers non-minimum wage workers.  Clinton wants to put a lot of coal workers out of a job.  They're focusing on issues relevant to city dwellers on the coasts.  Trump is talking to them.  Hillary pretends they don't exist.

td1234
td1234

@YouLibs @xxxzzz A combination of fracking and Obama regulation is what has led to the demise of the coal industry.  

Orange15
Orange15

@rimsky @xxxzzz  Oh good grief. Nobody would pine for the finger of Obama. If you are going to post at least be realistic. Obama sucks and I really hate that a portion of my taxes are going toward his non deserved check.

YouLibs
YouLibs

@xxxzzz


You want to know what put coal workers out of work?


Of course you don't but I'm going to tell you:


The same thing that put the neighborhood ice man and the buggy whip makers out of business.

rimsky
rimsky

@xxxzzz God forbid if Trump is in the WH, you will be pining for the finger after what the fraudster Trump does to America.

Airdale
Airdale

@Orange15 @rimsky @xxxzzz You are so consistently wrong it is amazing.  Over half of the population of the US would be ok with four more years.


Democrats - Cleaning up Republican messes since 1932

gotalife
gotalife

Lets give Hillary a rubber stamp congress to finish off the gop.

gotalife
gotalife

It will be official on Tuesday and Hillary made history.

St Simons he-ne-ha
St Simons he-ne-ha

Ryan Sells Out. 

They have read the tea leaves. There is no refuge for a small group of sane republicans to huddle around til this wreckage clears.

The Speaker of the House is the #3 guy in Washington. This is big. They are all in. They are going down with this ship. All the chips, the farm, and the kitchen sink are in. Told you.

Now - Take the Senate by 4 and they disband.

or split into the Liberpublicans & the White Nationalists

Donnie_Pinko
Donnie_Pinko

Mary Elizabeth Sings 

Nice to see you back. I was almost wondering if you were keeping your head down with things starting to look grim for your lady in California.

Donnie_Pinko
Donnie_Pinko

@MaryElizabethSings @Donnie_Pinko 

Now we know what the main Clinton strategy is going into California. It's to simply pretend that the primary is over and move the general election launch - and pivot to the right - ahead a bit to hopefully take some air out of the CA primary and hopefully lend it an air of a fait accompli.

I guess I can see how that makes sense as a strategy.

gotalife
gotalife

ryan ended his career today.

xxxzzz
xxxzzz

@KUTGF @gotalife http://www.gazettextra.com/20160602/paul_ryan_donald_trump_can_help_make_reality_of_bold_house_policy_agenda    from the article:  "But the House policy agenda has been the main focus of our dialogue. We’ve talked about the common ground this agenda can represent. We’ve discussed how the House can be a driver of policy ideas. We’ve talked about how important these reforms are to saving our country. And we’ve talked about how, by focusing on issues that unite Republicans, we can work together to heal the fissures developed through the primary. Through these conversations, I feel confident he would help us turn the ideas in this agenda into laws to help improve people’s lives. That’s why I’ll be voting for him this fall. It’s no secret that he and I have our differences. I won’t pretend otherwise. And when I feel the need to, I’ll continue to speak my mind. But the reality is, on the issues that make up our agenda, we have more common ground than disagreement. For me, it’s a question of how to move ahead on the ideas that I—and my House colleagues—have invested so much in through the years. It’s not just a choice of two people, but of two visions for America. And House Republicans are helping shape that Republican vision by offering a bold policy agenda, by offering a better way ahead." - See more at: http://www.gazettextra.com/20160602/paul_ryan_donald_trump_can_help_make_reality_of_bold_house_policy_agenda#sthash.4UD9p6Bm.dpuf

KUTGF
KUTGF

@gotalife He certainly has demonstrated that he is not ready to take on the wackos in his party and to provide leadership.  He also seems to be taking away the ability of his cohorts to keep room between themselves and Trump.  He may have really helped the Dems get back the Senate and make some real headway in the House.