Opinion: From Fox, frightening news for GOP

We’re still a year away from the 2018 midterms, but I don’t think I’ve ever seen a poll with such ominous news for a political party as the latest Fox News poll holds for Republicans.

In the last month, President Trump’s job-approval number has dropped four points, from 42 percent to 38 percent. It is down 10 points since February. In the last month, it has dropped precipitously, from 68 percent to 56 percent, among white men without a college degree, which is his core group of supporters. Among independents, his job approval rating is now just 30 percent. And according to Fox News, Obamacare is now viewed favorably by 52 percent of Americans, and unfavorably by 44 percent.

Nine months into his presidency, most Americans have also concluded that Trump lacks the knowledge (38 percent yes/60 percent no), judgment (37/60) and compassion (37/60) to function adequately in the Oval Office.

OK, are you ready for the bad news now?

Back in the 2010 midterms, the Republicans gained 63 seats in the House, easily recapturing the majority, and picked up six seats in the Senate. It was the biggest mid-term transformation of Congress since way back in 1938. That historic performance had been widely predicted, thanks to polls asking voters whether they would support an unnamed Republican or unnamed Democrat for Congress. On that so-called generic ballot question that year, Republicans enjoyed a huge, nine-point advantage.

On the generic ballot question this year, the new Fox poll gives Democrats a 15-point advantage.

Longer term, the portends for the party are even more disastrous. Among voters aged 45 and younger, 71 percent have an unfavorable opinion of Trump, while just 26 percent view him favorably. That’s a 45-point differential. On the generic ballot question, just 25 percent of younger voters say they intend to vote Republican next year, while 55 percent intend to vote Democratic. In generational terms, we’ve never seen anything like that before.

Once put in place, such party affinities tend to be like tattoos — you can erase them, but the process is costly and painful. And with American politics becoming ever more tribal, and with political identity becoming part of a person’s “brand” among friends and family, that’s probably more true than ever.

Again, the midterms are still a year away, but these numbers have to be frightening, particularly because they are backed up by findings by other pollsters. And as far as I can tell, the Republican strategy to reverse these trends consists of two basic components:

1.) Continue to purge any elements in their party that dare to challenge Trump, such as Sen. Jeff Flake of Arizona and Sen. Bob Corker of Tennessee, and replace them with more extreme candidates who pledge unquestioned loyalty to an increasingly unpopular president. It’s as if the GOP is trapped in an abusive relationship with a boyfriend whom nobody else likes or trusts, but instead of trying to get out, its reaction is to tell everyone else to go to hell and to double-down on the relationship.

It is not usually an approach that produces a good outcome.

2.) Pass a major tax-cut plan that will give Republicans something to brag about on the campaign trail. After their disastrous failure to repeal and replace Obamacare, GOP leaders have convinced themselves that they need something to brag about as an accomplishment, and they see a huge tax cut as their only hope. (They also need it to placate their wealthy donors.)

However, that pesky Fox poll again suggests real trouble. It tells us that 78 percent of Americans are “frustrated that the wealthy pay too little in taxes,” and that 85 percent are frustrated by “corporations using loopholes to avoid taxes.” Maybe it’s just me, but building your comeback hopes around a policy that is opposed by eight out of 10 American voters — and by six out of 10 members of your own party — doesn’t sound all that bright.

But as Barack Obama said to Mitt Romney, “please proceed, governor.”

 

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3747 comments
Summer Smith
Summer Smith

More fake news from the Communist AJC and Bookman. Here’s a list of all his accomplishments so far. 1) He got conservative judge Neil Gorsuch on the Supreme Court. 2) The stock market is at an all-time high. 3) Consumer confidence is at an all-time high. 4) He created more than a million jobs by undoing Obama’s regulations. 5) Mortgage applications for new homes is at a 7 year high. 6) Unemployment rate is at a 16 year low. 7) Signed the promoting women in entrepreneurship act. 8) Gutted 800 Obama era regulations thus freeing up companies to hire again and get the economy moving once again. 9) Ended the war on coal and caused a new mine for coal mining to open that will mine clean coal. He also put the miners back to work. 10) Weakened Dodd-Frank regulations. 11) Promotes buying and hiring American. 12) Investments from major businesses such as Foxconn, Ford ,Toyota, Intel amd others will build here now. 13) Reduced illegal immigration by over 70%. 14) Bids for the border wall are underway. 15) He’s fighting back against sanctuary cities. 16) Changed the rules of engagement against ISIS. 17) Drafted a plan to defeat ISIS. 18) Worked to reduce the cost of the F-35 fighter jets. 19) Imposed a five year lobbying plan. 20) Sanctioned Iran over its’ missile program. 21) Responded to Syria’s use of chemical weapons. 22) Reduced tax reform plan. 23) He’s renegotiating NAFTA. 24) He withdrew from the Trans Pacific Partnership thus keeping jobs here. 25) He pulled us out of the Paris Climate Accords thus saving us millions of dollars every year. 26) Created a task force to reduce crime. 27) The DOJ is targeting dangerous gangs like MS-13. 28) Signed independence and economic growth law. 29) Signed an executive order to protect police officers and target drug cartels. 30) Signed an executive order for religious freedom. 31) His administration is working on sending education back to the states. 32) He’s fixing the dept. of Veterans affairs so now vets can choose their own doctors and be covered. This also protects whistle blowers and allows VA to terminate bad employees.. 33) Authorized construction of the Keystone and Dakota pipelines. The Dakota pipeline is up and running without harming the environment. 34) Created commissions on election fraud and opioid addiction. 35) Food stamp use is the lowest level in seven years. 36) Reduced the White House payroll saving taxpayers millions of dollars. 37) He’s donating his salary to various causes. 38) Signed 52 pieces of legislation. 39) Cut 600 billion from UN peacekeeping mission. 40) Gas prices lowest in more than 12 years. You won’t hear any of this in the mainstream media. All they know is destroy, distract and damage. That shows that they don’t care about the people they claim to care about because if they did they would work with Trump and make the country better. Trump accomplished all of this on his own without the help of congress who are useless at this point. All the media cares about is how they can destroy him today. They have no solutions of their own. They are all deranged ideologues suffering from what is known as Trump derangement syndrome. No wonder the media’s and congress’ ratings are lower than Trump’ s. His may be low, but theirs is lower. In the areas of economics and national security, Trump is in the midst of healing this country’s true woes. He’s facing nearly insurmountable opposition from every corner of Washington and the media. But he’s started something in motion that will ultimately prevail. He has turned the ship around from Obama's destruction of America plan. That’s moral victory. That’s making America great again.

Shirin Massoudi
Shirin Massoudi

Really? Why don't you share some of yours? He is sitting in the Oval office; you are not.

Sharon Murray
Sharon Murray

Fake news. Politicians have the egotistical stance of feeling they know how to run a country. Bull. They only protect their money grubbing careers.

Martha Pickens
Martha Pickens

Raymond Johnson in Clinton's words "what difference does it make" Trump won.If any other president had done what Obama did while in office they would have been impeached he stepped all over our constitution and that is an impeachable offense.The man lied to the American people he lied about ACA he lied about Benghazi he lied about poison gases being removed from Syria he lied about ISIS being on the run all the while they were spreading across the Middle East slaughtering people and causing a refugee crisis. I could go on and on as to the things Obama did while in office that wasn't in the interest the American people but trying to tell a liberal this is futile a liberal has the inability of independent thinking or to the seek the truth.Which is sad for them and American!

Ivan Gentry
Ivan Gentry

But the community organizer did? Obama is the most corrupt president in history and he surrounded himself with felons.

Becky Boyd
Becky Boyd

After the history of how people act in the Whitehouse , Presdent Trump has a long way to go before his actions are not acceptable in the white house. You people act like his predecessors we're Baptist ministers . When did Baptist ministers start smoking cigars and putting a room full of prayer rugs in the white house . Get off your band wagon. We don't want to hear it

Ficklefan
Ficklefan

Jay, I vaguely recall a similar type of column you wrote some time way back during Obama's second term. It was a lot of blather and nonsense about how demographics is the future, and America is becoming younger and browner and the Pub/Cons should just go ahead now and pack up and  go home. How did that work out for you? 


Not too well considering the current situation in Washington and the the number of federal and state legislative seats held by the Pub/Cons and the number of state governors that are Pub/Cons. And, oh yeah, out of about Hillary winning, in round numbers, only 450 of the 3,000 counties in the entire nation. There was lot of red on that map, and believe it or not, it's still there, and it's not going anywhere. But please continue to promote the fantasy. 


Reminder: There is one, and only one, poll that matters. Those polls are taken periodically, and usually in November.  I think the Dem/Libs might have learned that by now. Things change and people change, and it can and does happen quickly. 


One day, historians looking back will pinpoint the focus (or perhaps more accurately "religion") on"identity politics" (age, race, social status, wealth, gender, sexual orientation, nationality, immigrant status, i.e. demographics, etc.) as the down fall of the Democratic party. 


Slice, divide, separate, mince . . . . and conquer? Gin up grievances for every small group you can think of, and how it has suffered wrong doing at the hands of some one else. Nothing is your own fault. Your miserable status in life is not your fault. It's "those other guys" and "other groups" holding you down, holding you back. What a winning formula! Well, not exactly. But keep it up, because it works pretty well for "those guys holding every one else down."


Dianne Smith
Dianne Smith

People are so used to Obama's 8 years of nothingness that they've forgotten what a true patriotic President is supposed to do and don't recognize a great one when they see one. Idiots!

Steve Beck
Steve Beck

The ballot box will determine this just like under Obama over a 1000 dem.seats were lost at the city, state, federal level which is a record. Why? Because people didn't like the policies...

Barbara Bowry
Barbara Bowry

Thank you Jesus for our president, keep him safe and give him the wisdom and power to steer this great ship of state!!

Don Manuel
Don Manuel

Lol he's the best since Ronald Reagan

bendedknee
bendedknee

Mueller's indictments hopefully will move on to Cambridge Analytica and the Mercers. There is the real story. Brits already investigating the Mercers and Cambridge  for rigging Brexit vote. Now we got Cambridge working with Wikileaks  and funding Bannon.

Leona Troyer
Leona Troyer

This is dems libtards etc talking ,cause Trump supporters think he's doing a Great Job ,furthermore he's a business man not a politician like past presidents who did nothing for America but tare it down !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Derrick Beeson
Derrick Beeson

B.S. he may lack tack but he is doing the peoples work

bendedknee
bendedknee

Does the "peoples work " involve following orders from Putin and enriching Trump enterprises as President?

Marie Biddle
Marie Biddle

He has complained more than Obama has in 8 years

Ficklefan
Ficklefan

Basically true, but their circumstances are were/are very different.  Not long after Obama became president, it became clear that criticizing his policies could very quickly get you labeled a "racist"  -  whatever that trite and overused and misused term may means these days, it started then. Also, the Lame Stream shamelessly, openly, arrogantly resigned its role as "journalists" and signed up as Obama's and the Dem/Lib's PR firm, and again, shamelessly, openly, and arrogantly promoting and defending his Dem/Lib policies and attacking anyone who dared to criticize and disagree - as "racists" of course. This was one of the many reasons why Hillary lost, but that is another whole discussion. So I hope these "journalists" keep on doing what they are doing now.


Enter Trump. Time for the Lame Stream to resign their Obama Dem/Lib PR jobs and become attack dog "journalists" again. And so happy to be "journalists" again, or what passes for journalism these days, they are fully locked and loaded against Trump - who did the unthinkable - he called them out, and he calls them out every day for what they actually are. How dare he do that and call them liars and purveyors of fake news, which as a matter of fact, they are. 


So, yes, by doing that, he does seem to "complain" a lot . . . . but in truth, they complain even more than he does . . . . they are disguised as "journalists" and can get away with it. 


And now, ravaged and afflicted and unhinged by incurable and terminal TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome), the most biased and prejudiced and agenda-ized press in American history lives to do him harm and bring him down in any possible way they can.  Prediction: They will fail again as their TDS prevents them from really understanding what is going on "out there." 

Beverly Schwartz Wilkie
Beverly Schwartz Wilkie

It's opinion. Not fact. Big difference . I guess they have nothing else to report for today......

Carol Olson
Carol Olson

Christopher Jones why are you saying paid trolls to those for President Trump. I'm definitely not a paid trolls. I like what he's doing as as well as True Americans do.

Joyce Christie McDaniel
Joyce Christie McDaniel

Trump has more compassion that most and is definitely Obama the community organizer and 2 yr senator stunt. Plus very lazy. Great politician and sure knew how to take vacations.

Pamela Gomez
Pamela Gomez

I don't know where they came up with this nonsense ! it seems to me like it is more fake news ! I believe that the majority of people who voted for Trump still support him and believe that he is doing a wonderful job ! I believe that the media lacks the knowledge , judgment and compassion to function adequately !!!

Joni Nicholas
Joni Nicholas

Fake News! Trump has been great! He has a good, business head, which is exactly what America needs!

Rick Jamnik
Rick Jamnik

Where do they dig up this fake news? Oh never mind!

Victor Adkins
Victor Adkins

Any one who feels President Trump is not doing a fantastic job is a socialist communist Globalist and and more than likely hate our country.

Havard Buster Gregg
Havard Buster Gregg

That is fox new opinion. Now you know why I do not watch fox, not news, propaganda only.

Gaye Fox
Gaye Fox

I think he's functioning quite nicely!

David Wayne
David Wayne

This Is BS ,, Trump has done more in 10 months than obma did in 8yrs for the American people !!

Betty Barker
Betty Barker

Who are they calling for their ratings???????

Barbara Winchester
Barbara Winchester

The only think that President Trump is missing is the support of his party. by the way this Isn't his fault. It is his Party Fault.

Jimmie Chancellor
Jimmie Chancellor

Its the same people who voted for Hillary and lost. We the people who voted for him could Not be happier with him! Love him!

Luz Manalo Ramirez
Luz Manalo Ramirez

THE PRESIDENT IS DOING A SPLENDID JOB..THE HATERS CAN'T SEEM TO ACCEPT THAT. MAYBE THEY'D RATHER SEE HIM FAIL THAN SUCCED.

Heath Jefferson
Heath Jefferson

Lets focus on Term limits for Congress and do some real good.